The rule no strategy changes
The chance of the plane passing x is about 97% ÷ x. That is why the expected return of any cash-out target is the same: 97% of the stake.
Strategies compared
| Strategy | How it works | Profile | Watch out for |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low cash-out | Auto cash-out at 1.20x–1.50x | Frequent small wins | One loss wipes out 2 to 5 wins |
| Two bets | One exits early, one aims high | Rounds less “all or nothing” | Doubles the money at stake |
| High target | Cash out at 5x–10x or more | Few, large wins | Long losing streaks |
| Martingale | Double the stake after each loss | Feels safe short-term | Needs a huge bankroll; hits limits |
| Flat bet | Same stake and target every time | Predictable and easy to control | Improves control, not returns |
Martingale in practice
With a R$ 5 starting bet and a 2.00x target, here is what you must risk after a losing streak.
| Losses in a row | Next stake | Total lost so far |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R$ 10 | R$ 5 |
| 2 | R$ 20 | R$ 15 |
| 3 | R$ 40 | R$ 35 |
| 4 | R$ 80 | R$ 75 |
| 5 | R$ 160 | R$ 155 |
| 6 | R$ 320 | R$ 315 |
| 7 | R$ 640 | R$ 635 |
With roughly a 51.5% chance of losing each round at 2.00x, seven losses in a row happen in about 1 out of every 100 sequences — and the whole series only ever wins R$ 5.
Bankroll management: what really helps
- Set aside an entertainment budget and do not top it up when it runs out.
- Stake 1% to 2% of that budget per round.
- Decide a loss limit and a win limit to end the session in advance.
- Use the operator’s own deposit and time limits.
- Note your opening and closing balance for each session.
Signals, bots and hacks: common scams
Telegram and WhatsApp groups, “bots” and apps that claim to predict Aviator are fraud.
- The result is calculated cryptographically from seeds that are only combined at the start of the round.
- These groups usually earn commission on your deposits or charge a subscription.
- “Hacked” apps may steal your banking details and account access.
See how the calculation works in Provably Fair.